2026-08-17
options-implied range trade · real option prices
orders to place before the open
5
5 buy · 0 move · 0 close · 0 open of 5
199 of the 400 watchlist names have no option-price backtest yet. The watchlist moved to the rule-based 400-name list on 2026-08-16 and the option-price download is still running. Treat signals in those names as unvalidated.

1 — Buy limits to place

BUY ACHRlimit $6.05
target $7.21 · expected move 85% · 20% of account
BUY ROSTlimit $226.42
target $265.92 · expected move 78% · 20% of account
BUY BABAlimit $114.56
target $133.57 · expected move 74% · 20% of account
BUY TEMlimit $48.57
target $55.90 · expected move 68% · 20% of account
BUY CHTRlimit $145.10
target $164.01 · expected move 59% · 20% of account

2 — Sell limits to move

no open positions
The sell price is recomputed every morning from yesterday's close and today's option prices. It can move down as well as up.

3 — Close at market

nothing has reached the day limit

Watchlist — 25 closest to qualifying

#stockbuy attargetexp. move
1ACHR$6.05$7.2185%buying
2ROST$226.42$265.9278%buying
3BABA$114.56$133.5774%buying
4TEM$48.57$55.9068%buying
5CHTR$145.10$164.0159%buying
6DE$574.59$644.8456%
7CRWD$204.79$229.7956%
8NOW$117.09$131.3756%
9CHWY$21.19$23.7756%
10LOW$206.41$231.1155%
11FCX$63.09$69.9950%
12PLTR$165.36$183.1349%
13SNOW$312.56$346.1349%
14BURL$330.43$365.5149%
15FTNT$152.50$167.8146%
16APH$159.21$175.1346%
17AVGO$374.79$412.1346%
18HD$323.25$355.0945%
19LULU$114.23$125.2644%
20CRM$187.52$205.2544%
21WSM$231.06$252.4943%
22DOW$29.74$32.4842%
23RCL$292.12$318.5042%
24MELI$1767.03$1924.7441%
25PHM$124.85$135.8441%
Ranked biggest expected move first — that is the rule for choosing when more names qualify than there are slots. Only the ones marked are being bought; the rest are here to watch.

Trade history

no trades recorded yet — confirm-entry and confirm-exit write to this log

The rules

steprule
watchlist400 names, top 400 of the market by last year's dollar volume
eligibleabove its 50-day average and 3-day RSI ≤ 50
buy atyesterday's close × e−1.6449 × expected daily move
choosebiggest expected move first, when more than 5 qualify
size5 positions, 20% of the account each
sell atyesterday's close × e+1.6449 × expected daily move, recomputed daily
exitsell limit hit, or close at market after 5 trading days
stop-lossnone, deliberately
Orders must be resting in the market before the open. Checking once a day near the close instead roughly halves the strategy.

Expect Sharpe 3.0–3.3, not the 3.5 headline. The whole test window (Feb 2024 – Aug 2026) is a rising market, because option-price history does not go back further. Using a cheaper volatility estimate to reach back to 2015, the same mechanism loses money in 2022 and carries drawdowns near −45% across a full cycle.

Page written 2026-08-16 20:54 local. Refreshes every 5 minutes.